Find the distribution of the NPV of profit over the three-year horizon and analyze the sensitivity and trend charts. Summarize your conclusions.

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For the Hyde Park Surgery Center scenario described in Problem 19 in Chapter 9 , suppose that the following assumptions are made: The number of patients served the first year is uniform between 1,300 and 1,700; the growth rate for subsequent years is triangular with parameters (5%, 8%, 9%), and the growth rate for year 2 is independent of the growth rate for year 3; average billing is normal with a mean of $150,000 and a standard deviation of $10,000; and the annual increase in fixed costs is uniform between 5% and 7%, and independent of other years. Find the distribution of the NPV of profit over the three-year horizon and analyze the sensitivity and trend charts. Summarize your conclusions.

 

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